Posts tagged foresights

Keynote at Masterclass: digital challenges for creators and culture, Futurist Keynote Speaker Gerd (by Gerd Leonhard)

This was recorded Wednesday, 14 November, 2012 at Kulturstyrelsen in Copenhagen, at an event called  “New business models for the creative industry - new challanges for the rightholders;  Masterclass on the digital challenges of cultur. Topics include copyright, licensing of media, future of advertising and media, new revenue streams for creators, and much more. If you want the PDF with my slides please visit my dropbox file sharing site, browse to Presentations and look for Copenhagen. or browse my dropbox file sharing site, browse to Presentations and look for Copenhagen. or browse

My vimeo channel is here: (also allows downloads)

How to Predict the Future (and How Not to) | LinkedIn

The massive quantities of data now available, coupled with the computer processing power to sift through it and subject it to microsopic analysis, can easily give us a false sense of confidence. As op-ed columnist David Brooks said recently, it is as if there is a new “religion” of “data-ism,” leading some to think that “data is a transparent and reliable lens that allows us to filter out emotionalism and ideology; that data will help us do remarkable things — like foretell the future.” But data without common sense and intuitive, human judgment can be dangerously misleading. Just ask the ratings agencies.

We are seeing a shift away from mass consumption towards mass communication. Whatever can become digital will become digitized. The contents of entire rooms (libraries, offices, etc.) have been condensed into a footprint the size of a single laptop. Expect major changes in the consumption patterns of today’s youth – particularly in America and Europe. Younger generations are becoming less interested in accumulating debt for the purchase of cars and housing. Renting and sharing are becoming more common arrangements for large physical assets. Economics is becoming less about ownership and more about access.

Key Topics in the Next 5 Years - discussed by Futurists Dr. James Canton and Gerd Leonhard (by Gerd Leonhard

We had a nice talk imho:)) take a look

So what do Futurists actually do ?

A conversation between Futurists Dr. James Canton and Gerd Leonhard This video is part of the new series (launching soon). This video covers questions such as 1) what does a Futurist do (and what not)  2) why clients hire us, and what we can do for them 3) some of the challenges that we have encountered in the past 10 years.

In 1900, an American civil engineer called John Elfreth Watkins made a number of predictions about what the world would be like in 2000…. read more via the BBC. I just ran across this image of Watkins’ predictions from 1900, and thought they would make a very good 2013 kick-off / happy new year post. Some of my favs: Hot and cold air from spigots Ready-cooked meals will be bought Automobiles will be cheaper than horses Areal war-ships Found via buzzfeed How res download

New slideshow by Futurist Speaker Gerd Leonhard: the Future of The Internet: Big Data, SoLoMo, Privacy, Human Machines?

This is the edited PDF of my presentation at the Online Information Conference 2012 see Everybody is talking about ‘data is the new oil’ aka big-data. SoLoMo (social local mobile) is the battle cry of the day. Human-machine interfaces are rapidly evolving and may quickly become commonplace (think Google Glasses, MSFT Kinect), artificial intelligence is the geek-phrase-of-the-day, and Kurzweil says the singularity is near/here. So how will our world really change in the next 5 years, i.e. the way we communicate, get information, create, buy and sell, travel, live and learn? What are the biggest threats and the hottest opportunities - not just in financial terms, but also in societal and human terms? Futurist Gerd Leonhard will share his foresights and explore the key ‘networked society’ scenarios.

13 Tech Trends to Adopt Before the Year's End

APIs Are Everywhere!

APIs use to be only for the big guys, but now you’re seeing MVPs include APIs and almost everyone on talk to that doesn’t have an API has one on the road map. Heck, even the White House has issued a directive that all departments need to build an API in 90 days.

The machines he envisioned will have the power to become vastly more user-friendly than today’s PC’s. They will probably be able to take voice instructions, and read commands written by hand or an electronic notepad, or right on the screen. None of this is science fiction — it’s just around the corner.